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The Coming GOP Civil War Over Climate Change
“The idea that you could look a huge amount of evidence straight in the face and, for purely ideological reasons, deny it, is anathema to me.” —Kerry Emanuel, former Republican
…“There is a divide within the party,” says Samuel Thernstrom, who served on President George W. Bush’s Council on Environmental Quality and is now a scholar of environmental policy at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank. “The position that climate change is a hoax is untenable.”…
…“The country’s going to become more educated, and that’s not going to break our way, as a party, if we are denying what 90 out of 100 scientists say,” Croswhite argues. “If the scientific community is generally accepting of something, you need to trust that.”…
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5 Charts About Climate Change That Should Have You Very, Very Worried
See on Scoop.it - The Future of Water & Waste
Two major organizations released climate change reports this month warning of doom and gloom if we stick to our current course and fail to take more aggressive measures. A World Bank report imagines a world 4 degrees warmer, the temperature predicted by century’s end barring changes, and says it aims to shock people into action by sharing devastating scenarios of flood, famine, drought and cyclones. Meanwhile, a report from the US National Research Council, commissioned by the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and other intelligence agencies, says the consequences of climate change—rising sea levels, severe flooding, droughts, fires, and insect infestations—pose threats greater than those from terrorism ranging from massive food shortages to a rise in armed conflicts.
Here are some of the more alarming graphic images from the reports.
See on theatlantic.com -
Why Conservatives Turned Against Science
Remember when environmental protection was a bipartisan effort?
A prediction: When all the votes have been counted and the reams of polling data have been crunched, analyzed, and spun, this will be clear: Few scientists will have voted for Republican candidates, particularly for national office. Survey data taken from 1974 through 2010 and analyzed by Gordon Gauchat in the American Sociological Review confirm that most American scientists are not conservatives. A 2009 study by the Pew Research Center found that only 9 percent of scientists self-identified as conservative, while 52 percent called themselves liberals. Only 6 percent of American scientists self-identified as Republicans. This state of affairs is bad for the nation, and bad for science.
It was not always this way. In the 1968 election, Richard Nixon won the votes of 31 percent of physicists, 42 percent of biologists, 52 percent of geologists, and 62 percent of agricultural scientists (compared with 43.4 percent of the popular vote). While these data do not include party affiliation, they suggest that the scientific community of the late 1960s was much more evenly divided between the two major parties than it is now, and, with the exception of physicists, slightly more conservative than the American voting public at large.
Why have scientists fled the Republican Party? The obvious answer is that the Republican Party has spurned science. Consider Mitt Romney’s shifting position on climate change. As governor of Massachusetts in 2004, he laid out a plan for protecting the state’s climate. As presidential candidate, he has said that climate change is real, but has questioned whether humans are causing it. His stance is consistent with the Republican Party platform, which unambiguously calls for expanding the production and use of the fossil fuels that drive climate change. In 2009, Paul Ryan accused climate scientists of “clear efforts to use statistical tricks to distort their findings and intentionally mislead the public on the issue of climate change,” echoing false accusations leveled against climatologists at the University of East Anglia. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan exemplify the conservative turn against science, but what explains it?
(continue)
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As much as we like to debate over religion, any disagreement will always be a secondary thought to keeping our world- and those on it- safe. No killing, no hurting, no taking away others’ rights. That’s the way it should be, no matter what creed you follow.
(via skepticalavenger)
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High Resolution -
"The Republicans say that we can’t afford to pay for cutting the carbon emissions which climatologists assert are largely responsible for rising global temperatures and the spike in violent weather. What we truly cannot afford, according to our nation’s leading insurers, is to continue to deny a problem whose price tag is slated to go through the roof if we don’t act quickly."
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npr:
Climate, Controversy And Strangers On A Plane
He looked like a former linebacker, tall and solidly built. After stowing his wife’s luggage in the overhead, he squeezed past me, sat down and looked straight at the astronomy textbook I was reading. “You’re a scientist?” he asked. “Are you involved in that big controversy over climate?”
I looked into his face and could see he wasn’t angry or hostile or combative. He seemed like a good guy and, by the way his wife gently rolled her eyes, I could see he liked to talk. So I took a chance and replied.
“What controversy?”
What followed was a long conversation, 30,000 feet above the American West, about a great and dangerous gap. On the one hand we spoke of science and what it looks like on the ground to those who practice it. On the other hand we waded knee-deep into the wreckage that is science in the sphere of politics.
From my seatmate’s perspective the field of climate studies must be awash in controversy. Was the planet warming, or not?
(Image credit: Berkeley Earth)
(via amodernmanifesto)
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Climate Scientists' editorial rebuttal published in the WSJ!
A few days ago, the Wall Street Journal published an anti-climate change op-ed signed by 16 scientists. None of the authors are climate scientists, nor do peer review research in the field.
No matter, it got published anyway. And shortly after the piece was published, real climate scientists came out off the woodwork to condemn the WSJ and the so-called scientists that wrote it. Andrew Revkin of the NYTimes has been tracking the pushback, here.
I’m happy to say that the WSJ published a rebuttal from real climate scientists and researchers, and it is epic. A taste:
Check With Climate Scientists for Views on Climate
Do you consult your dentist about your heart condition? In science, as in any area, reputations are based on knowledge and expertise in a field and on published, peer-reviewed work. If you need surgery, you want a highly experienced expert in the field who has done a large number of the proposed operations.
You published “No Need to Panic About Global Warming” (op-ed, Jan. 27) on climate change by the climate-science equivalent of dentists practicing cardiology. While accomplished in their own fields, most of these authors have no expertise in climate science. The few authors who have such expertise are known to have extreme views that are out of step with nearly every other climate expert. This happens in nearly every field of science. For example, there is a retrovirus expert who does not accept that HIV causes AIDS. And it is instructive to recall that a few scientists continued to state that smoking did not cause cancer, long after that was settled science.
Climate experts know that the long-term warming trend has not abated in the past decade. In fact, it was the warmest decade on record. Observations show unequivocally that our planet is getting hotter.
Via Revkin
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James Taylor of Forbes is at it again.
cwnl:
James Taylor of Forbes magazine, the same James Taylor and Forbes magazine who attempted to debunk global warming using a paper published by a creationist and ExxonMobil associate, is at it again.
This time, Taylor has dug up a 2007 debate, at the end of which, 46% of the non-climate-scientist-audience was persuaded that climate change was “not a crises.” That’s up from 30% before the debate. Taylor finds this persasuive enough to declare victory for the climate science denialists.
Yeah, that’s nice. Meanwhile, 97% of climate scientists agree that anthropogenic climate change is real.
What an interesting but expected duo; Creationism and climate change denialists.
(via ikenbot)
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(via political-cartoons)
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"Climate denial is, if nothing else, a sign of the dumbing down of conservatism in the United States. Just as climate change threatens the physical environment, so too does climate denial threaten the cognitive environment. After all, what happens when one’s intellectual shoreline has been eroded?"
-Conservative writer and former climate denier D.R. Tucker
via Climate Denial Crock of the Week
(via jtotheizzoe)(via jtotheizzoe)
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High ResolutionChris Mooney on the Number One Lesson *Not* To Take Away from Hurricane Irene
(hint: it’s about “hurricane hype” … you’re gonna hear a lot about it this week)
Nevertheless, somehow Irene still wasn’t damaging enough, and so we’re going to hear about how politicians were covering their $#^@, scaring people when they didn’t have to.
Not only is this idiotic—it’s downright dangerous.
Nobody can perfectly forecast how a storm is going to turn out or where it is going to go—not even the experts. This storm clearly posed a very serious threat to New York, and while it certainly could have been worse, that’s precisely the point. We err on the side of caution. We warn people strenuously because to under-warn them would be unforgivable.
Even worse, if this narrative about hurricane “overhyping” takes hold, it could utterly distract from the real take-away from this storm experience. Namely: This was a test run for a much worse storm that will someday come and threaten New York. And the test run proved that we’re not remotely ready.
The image I’ve posted above shows the cumulative tracks of all Atlantic hurricanes on record. As you can see, there is virtually no part of the East Coast that has not gotten hit at some time or other.
New York will be hit again, and it will be hit worse. It is only a matter of time.
And while the city may have withstood Irene relatively well, it will not, with its current defenses, withstand a direct hit from a stronger storm with a bigger storm surge. And if that storm comes and New York isn’t ready, we could have a scenario even worse than Katrina.
So while the journalists are talking about “hype,” here’s what we should actually be discussing:
Sea defenses.
(via DeSmog Blog)
It’s got to be the climate change deniers. I’m sure they think that storm warnings are part of a larger weather event hype machine. They’re taking head-in-sand denial to the next level if they would have us forego warning people of deadly weather events simply to avoid drawing attention to the idea that events are getting stronger and more frequent.
This reminds me of the people who are ardently and broadly opposed to anti-bullying laws because they think that protection would encourage kids to be gay.
(via jtotheizzoe)
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The Scientific Guide to Global Warming Skepticism
Scientific skepticism is healthy. In fact, science by its very nature is skeptical. Genuine skepticism means considering the full body of evidence before coming to a conclusion. However, when you take a close look at arguments expressing climate ‘skepticism’, what you often observe is cherry picking of pieces of evidence while rejecting any data that don’t fit the desired picture. This isn’t skepticism. It is ignoring facts and the science.The Scientific Guide to Global Warming Skepticism looks at both the evidence that human activity is causing global warming and the ways that climate ‘skeptic’ arguments can mislead by presenting only small pieces of the puzzle rather than the full picture.
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The Yale forum on climate change | Fact File
EUREKA! I think I’ve found it:
A place to look into claims being made by Climate Skeptics. This searchable archive is a great place to get straight forward info on climate science. All subjects are covered and it’s in plain language.
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Someone reblogged my post about Rick Perry’s claim of “the money-making research hoax” that is climate science, frustrated that the media overplays the consensus. Put another way, they think that there are are large numbers of “nonbelievers” in the climate science community that aren’t getting heard.
Right before I hopped into my climate scientist buddy’s Ferrari on our way out to a coke-and-Cristal-fueled evening debating the latest climate publications over rare vintage jars of Soviet-era caviar and tender baby bluefin tuna sashimi (all served on gold platters delivered on the backs of scantily-clad models)*, I found this neat website:
If you take 4,000 climate science publications, all peer-reviewed, over the last 178 years, and classify them as “skeptical”, “neutral” or “pro-manmade-global-warming”, you get the above picture. Go ahead, play with it yourself, and you can even see how it trends over time and pick out the papers from each year.
I’d say the consensus on either neutral effects or in support of man-made global warming is pretty strong. If you turned that graphic into 100 scientists, less than 5 of them would be “climate skeptics”. That’sconsensus.
*You gotta spend that climate science hoax $ somehow, amiright?
Just read a few of the pro-manmade global warming ones from 2010. Obviously they are pro, but I don’t understand how we can’t act especially when considering this:
As Ezra Klein posted a few months back:
A few years ago, cap-and-trade was, if not a consensus position in the Republican Party, then at least one with substantial support. John McCain had his own plan — a plan he continued to promote through the 2008 election — and he wasn’t, by any means, fighting a lonely battle. In fact, one of his co-sponsors was then-Sen. Barack Obama. In the states, a number of Republican governors were also pursuing cap-and-trade plans, including Tim Pawlenty,
who’s now running for presidentand has denounced his efforts to fight climate change as a terrible mistake.Or as McCain quoted Tony Blair, himself:
Suppose we are wrong and there is no such thing as Climate Change and we adapt green technologies, all we have done is give our children a cleaner world. Suppose we are right about Climate Change and do nothing. Then what have we done for our kids?

